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Gold Price Today: Why Are Gold Prices Rising Despite US Fed Rate Hike? Will Gold Rates Increase or Fall Next?

Updated: 12/Oct/2026 5:15:19 PM
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Gold Price Today: Why Are Gold Prices Rising Despite US Fed Rate Hike? Will Gold Rates Increase or Fall Next?

Gold prices have continued to rise despite expectations of a decline, raising questions among investors and jewellery buyers about the next direction of the market. After a sharp correction in India, gold prices have rebounded over the past three days, surprising those who expected the yellow metal to become more affordable.

The unexpected recovery has drawn attention to the factors influencing international gold prices, including US Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, global conflicts and investor demand for safe-haven assets.

Gold Prices Witness a Sudden Recovery After a Sharp Decline

Gold prices in India had reached a peak before recording a sudden decline around five days ago. During a three-day period, the price of gold fell by ₹2,232 per sovereign, offering some relief to consumers planning to purchase jewellery.

However, the downward trend did not last long. Gold prices began rising again over the following three days, going against earlier predictions that the metal would continue to lose value.

The unexpected reversal has left jewellery buyers and investors wondering whether gold prices will continue to increase or experience another correction in the coming days.

US Federal Reserve Rate Hike and Its Impact on Gold Prices

On October 8, the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.25 percentage points, according to the information provided in the report.

Generally, higher US interest rates can make dollar-denominated bonds and other interest-bearing investments more attractive. This can reduce demand for gold, which does not generate interest income, and put downward pressure on international gold prices.

Based on this conventional market relationship, expectations were that gold prices would decline following the Federal Reserve`s decision. However, the recent rise suggests that other factors are also influencing investor behaviour.

Crux Investor Explains Why Gold Prices Are Rising

Crux Investor, an international financial firm based in London, has outlined several factors that may explain the unexpected movement in gold prices.

According to the report, the Federal Reserve`s decision to raise interest rates to control inflation has created uncertainty among investors rather than strengthening confidence in the US dollar.

Investors are reportedly concerned that higher interest rates could increase debt-servicing costs and place pressure on the country`s debt burden. These concerns have raised questions about the dollar`s long-term value, potentially supporting demand for gold as an alternative investment.

The report also points to investor buying following the recent price correction. When gold prices declined sharply, some investors took advantage of the lower prices to purchase the metal, contributing to the subsequent recovery.

Iran and Ukraine Conflicts Support Safe-Haven Demand

Continuing geopolitical tensions are another important factor influencing gold prices. The lack of a final resolution to the conflict involving Iran, along with the ongoing conflict involving Ukraine, has kept uncertainty in global markets elevated.

During periods of geopolitical instability, investors often turn to gold because it is widely regarded as a safe-haven asset. Increased demand under suchch circumstances can support prices even when higher interest rates would normally weigh on the market.

Will Gold Prices Rise or Fall Next?

According to the Crux Investor report, gold prices could continue rising while geopolitical tensions remain unresolved. However, the future direction of gold prices will depend on several factors, including developments in international conflicts, investor demand, US monetary policy and movements in the dollar.

For jewellery buyers and investors in India, the recent price recovery highlights how quickly market expectations can change. Those planning to purchase gold should monitor daily price movements and international developments before making decisions.